SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.19%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Burkina Faso |
65.07% ( 0.01) | 22.27% ( 0) | 12.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( -0.04) | 56.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( -0.03) | 77.62% ( 0.03) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.01) | 16.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% ( -0.02) | 46.89% ( 0.02) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.04) | 53.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.27% ( -0.03) | 86.73% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 15.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.07% Total : 65.06% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.66% |
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