Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 16, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de Bouake

Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Mauritania

Traore (90+6' pen.)
Konate (45'), Toure (47'), Tapsoba (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohamed El Abd (90+4'), M. El Abd (90+4'), Abeid (90+9')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	1	0	1
2	Algeria	1	0	1
3	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Mauritania

All competitions

Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Mauritania
Saturday, January 6 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	1	0	1
2	Algeria	1	0	1
3	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

We said: Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania

Burkina Faso may struggle to break down a stubborn Mauritania defence on Tuesday, but their experience and superior firepower should give them the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.6%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Mauritania
50.26% ( -0.03)	28.55% ( -0)	21.19% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 38.67% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.25% (

0.03)

65.75% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.59% (

0.02)

84.41% (

-0.02)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.32% (

26.68% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.07%

61.93% (

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.74% (

0.06)

47.26% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.32% (

0.05)

82.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 50.25%

Mauritania 21.19%

Draw 28.53%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 16.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.7% Total : 50.25%	0-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 21.19%