Cameroon have enjoyed a fine start to the tournament and head into Monday's game as one of the most free-scoring sides so far. With the backing of the local fans, they stand the chance of going all the way this year and we are tipping them to claim the win in normal time and bring an end to Comoros' fairy-tale ride.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
