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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
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Malawi
0 - 4
Cameroon


Chirwa (43')
Banda (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aboubakar (22' pen.), Zambo Anguissa (42'), Bassogog (85', 87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
MalawiDrawCameroon
35.71%26.76%37.52%
Both teams to score 51.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57%53.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04%74.95%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33%28.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52%64.48%
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41%27.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 35.71%
    Cameroon 37.52%
    Draw 26.76%
MalawiDrawCameroon
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 7.95%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.52%

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