Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
