Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 40.37%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 29.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cameroon in this match.
