Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.