Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
