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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
58.03% ( -3.29) | 23.02% ( 1.31) | 18.94% ( 1.98) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( -2.39) | 49.23% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( -2.19) | 71.29% ( 2.19) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -1.91) | 16.68% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( -3.54) | 46.56% ( 3.54) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( 0.93) | 40.07% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.28% ( 0.83) | 76.72% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.66)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.44)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.97% Total : 58.02% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.94% |
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