SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kalmar.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
62.94% ( -0.48) | 21.09% ( 0.21) | 15.97% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( -0.42) | 45.91% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.4) | 68.22% ( 0.4) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( -0.28) | 13.96% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% ( -0.55) | 41.46% ( 0.55) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.09) | 41.69% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.83% ( 0.08) | 78.17% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 62.94% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.97% |
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