SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
30.57% ( 0.68) | 27.52% ( 0.24) | 41.91% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( -0.63) | 57.33% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( -0.5) | 78.16% ( 0.51) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( 0.18) | 34.09% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.22% ( 0.19) | 70.78% ( -0.19) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.78) | 26.98% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -1.04) | 62.33% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.57% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.91% |
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