Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Varberg Energi Arena
Stanisic (12'), Sainte (41'),
Tranberg (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Varbergs BoIS 1-2 Mjallby AIF
Going by the form book, there is only one possible way to predict this outcome given that Varbergs have lost five straight games at home, in contrast to Mjallby winning three of their last four away matches.
However, the two sides had contrasting results last weekend and football is a funny old game, but we expect the visitors to prevail on another away patch.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
30.57% ( 0.68) | 27.52% ( 0.24) | 41.91% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( -0.39) |
| 42.66% ( -0.63) | 57.33% ( 0.64) |
| 21.84% ( -0.5) | 78.16% ( 0.51) |
| 65.91% ( 0.18) | 34.09% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0.19) | 70.78% ( -0.19) |
| 73.01% ( -0.78) | 26.98% ( 0.78) |
