SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Hacken | 13 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Malmo | 15 | 7 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
31.66% ( -0) | 28% ( 0.03) | 40.34% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0.11) | 58.76% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% ( -0.09) | 79.29% ( 0.08) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.06) | 34.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.06) | 70.73% ( 0.06) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.07) | 28.52% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( -0.09) | 64.3% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.34% |
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