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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena

AIK
1 - 1
Shkendija

Guidetti (17')
Otieno (33'), Shichenje (82'), Stefanelli (82'), Abdirahman Ahmed (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hasani (1')
Dita (26'), Bejtulai (48'), Neziri (79'), Stojanovski (82')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AIK Fotboll and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AIK 2-0 Vorskla
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 3-1 Valmiera
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shkendija had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Shkendija win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
AIK FotbollDrawShkendija
59.18% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 17.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 45.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)53.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.98% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)48.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)44.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.47% (0.012 0.01)80.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    AIK Fotboll 59.17%
    Shkendija 17.31%
    Draw 23.5%
AIK FotbollDrawShkendija
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 59.17%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.31%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: AIK 2-0 Vorskla
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Varnamo 2-3 AIK
Sunday, July 24 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Vorskla 3-2 AIK
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AIK 1-0 Kalmar
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-2 AIK
Sunday, July 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 0-1 Mjallby AIF
Saturday, July 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Shkendija 3-1 Valmiera
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Valmiera 1-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat 2-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 14 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 2-0 Ararat
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 0-1 Riga FC
Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 2-0 Shkendija
Thursday, July 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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