SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
37.29% ( 1.01) | 24.7% ( -0.14) | 38.01% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.73) | 44.26% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.71) | 66.63% ( -0.7) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 0.88) | 23.47% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( 1.25) | 57.49% ( -1.24) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.11) | 23.1% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -0.17) | 56.95% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.01% |
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