SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Sirius |
39.71% ( -0) | 24.29% ( 0.01) | 36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.05) | 42.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.04) | 64.78% ( 0.04) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.02) | 21.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( -0.03) | 54.42% ( 0.03) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( -0.02) | 23.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( -0.03) | 57.25% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 36% |
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