SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Elfsborg |
32.24% ( -1.04) | 26.32% ( 0.27) | 41.44% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.81% ( -1.38) | 52.19% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.1% ( -1.21) | 73.9% ( 1.21) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -1.37) | 30.27% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( -1.67) | 66.45% ( 1.67) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( -0.22) | 24.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( -0.31) | 59.49% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.44% |
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