Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
IFK Goteborg | Draw | Malmo |
31.09% ( 0.73) | 24.98% ( -0.05) | 43.92% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 56.3% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.1% ( 0.55) | 46.9% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( 0.51) | 69.15% ( -0.51) |
IFK Goteborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% ( 0.76) | 28.39% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.86% ( 0.95) | 64.14% ( -0.95) |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.08) | 21.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -0.12) | 54.36% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
IFK Goteborg | Draw | Malmo |
1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.92% |
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