SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Degerfors |
60.78% ( -0.02) | 20.05% ( 0.02) | 19.17% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.08) | 35.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.09) | 57.58% ( 0.09) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.64% ( -0.03) | 11.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.93% ( -0.06) | 36.07% ( 0.07) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.04) | 31.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( -0.05) | 68.23% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 60.78% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.17% |
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