SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 18 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | -25 | 12 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 19 | -30 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 18 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | -25 | 12 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 19 | -30 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Sundsvall |
55.26% ( -0.07) | 24.44% ( 0.02) | 20.3% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% ( -0.03) | 53.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% ( -0.03) | 74.67% ( 0.03) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.04) | 19.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( -0.06) | 50.75% ( 0.07) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.18% ( 0.03) | 40.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( 0.03) | 77.39% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Sundsvall |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.26% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.3% |
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