SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Malmo | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 17 | 21 | 33 |
| 6 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 18 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 18 | -21 | 12 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 19 | -30 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 79.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 7.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Degerfors |
79.44% ( -0.08) | 12.91% ( 0.04) | 7.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.11) | 29.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.26% ( -0.13) | 50.74% ( 0.13) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.17% ( -0.03) | 5.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.61% ( -0.1) | 22.39% ( 0.1) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.82% ( 0) | 45.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.92% ( 0) | 81.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.01% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.43% Total : 79.44% | 1-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 12.91% | 1-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 7.65% |
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