SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Sirius | 13 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 14 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 13 | -17 | 10 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Helsingborg | 13 | -11 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Degerfors |
48.83% ( 0.31) | 22.44% ( -0.08) | 28.73% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.22) | 36.35% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.52% ( 0.25) | 58.48% ( -0.25) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( 0.19) | 15.26% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.04% ( 0.36) | 43.96% ( -0.36) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.03) | 24.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( -0.05) | 59.18% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.73% |
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