SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 16 | Helsingborg | 10 | -8 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sundsvall | Draw | Degerfors |
37.59% ( 0.62) | 24.75% ( 0.22) | 37.67% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( -1.02) | 44.47% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -1) | 66.84% ( 1) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.13) | 23.42% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.2) | 57.41% ( 0.21) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.88) | 23.37% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -1.3) | 57.35% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sundsvall | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.67% |
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