SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | IFK Goteborg | 17 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Malmo | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Kalmar | 17 | 5 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 17 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 17 | -21 | 11 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 17 | -27 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 86.13%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 3.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 4-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Sundsvall |
86.13% ( 0.01) | 10.06% ( -0) | 3.81% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 36.48% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.99% ( -0.02) | 34.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.13% ( -0.03) | 55.87% ( 0.03) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.56% ( 0) | 5.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.71% ( -0.01) | 21.29% ( 0.01) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.58% ( -0.05) | 61.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.64% ( -0.02) | 91.36% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Sundsvall |
| 2-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 10% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.16% Total : 86.12% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 10.06% | 0-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 3.82% |
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