Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
