Ludogorets
2 - 1
Malmo

(Malmo win 3-2 on aggregate)

Nedyalkov (10'), Soteriou (60' pen.)
Badji (37'), Yankov (48'), Soteriou (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Birmancevic (42')
Ahmedhodzic (80'), Rieks (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Malmo
20.39%	25.27%	54.33%

Both teams to score 45.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.93%

56.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86%

77.14%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57%

42.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19%

78.81%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35%

20.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.78%

53.22%

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 20.39%

Malmo 54.33%

Draw 25.26%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 7.51% 2-1 @ 5.08% 2-0 @ 3.22% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.15% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.39%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 13.82% 0-2 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.33%