Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
