SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Degerfors |
71.5% ( -0.43) | 16.04% ( 0.22) | 12.45% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.52) | 29.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.97% ( -0.63) | 51.03% ( 0.63) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.63% ( -0.21) | 7.37% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.42% ( -0.54) | 26.58% ( 0.54) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( -0.05) | 36.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( -0.05) | 73.03% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.09% Total : 71.5% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.04% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.45% |
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