SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Degerfors |
48.17% ( 0.64) | 24.36% ( -0.02) | 27.46% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( -0.33) | 46.17% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( -0.31) | 68.47% ( 0.32) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.13) | 19.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.03% ( 0.21) | 50.97% ( -0.21) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.63) | 30.58% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( -0.75) | 66.81% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Degerfors |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.46% |
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