Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Degerfors | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
38.93% ( -0.2) | 25.71% ( -0.07) | 35.36% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( 0.34) | 48.98% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% ( 0.31) | 71.06% ( -0.31) |
Degerfors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( 0.05) | 24.74% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( 0.07) | 59.3% ( -0.07) |
IFK Norrkoping Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( 0.32) | 26.74% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( 0.43) | 62.01% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Degerfors | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.36% |
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