SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Elfsborg |
29.54% ( 0.1) | 24.75% ( -0.01) | 45.71% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.12) | 46.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( 0.12) | 68.87% ( -0.12) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( 0.13) | 29.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( 0.17) | 65.27% ( -0.16) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.02) | 20.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( 0.02) | 52.92% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.71% |
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