SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 73.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hammarby in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
73.32% ( -0.03) | 16.04% ( 0.01) | 10.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.74% ( 0.04) | 35.26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.72% ( 0.05) | 57.28% ( -0.05) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.71% ( 0) | 8.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.07% ( 0.01) | 28.93% ( -0.01) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.99% ( 0.08) | 43.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.7% ( 0.06) | 79.3% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)6-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 73.32% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.04% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.64% |
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