SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Hammarby |
35.77% ( 0.08) | 26.64% ( 0.8) | 37.59% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -2.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -3.38) | 52.93% ( 3.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -2.95) | 74.53% ( 2.96) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -1.57) | 28.39% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% ( -2.02) | 64.13% ( 2.02) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( -2.06) | 27.31% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( -2.75) | 62.76% ( 2.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.85) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.98)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.59% |
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