SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Hammarby win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Hammarby |
53.41% ( 0.07) | 23.79% ( -0.06) | 22.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0.23) | 47.76% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0.21) | 69.95% ( -0.21) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( 0.12) | 17.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.45% ( 0.19) | 48.55% ( -0.19) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( 0.12) | 35.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( 0.12) | 72.07% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.8% |
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