SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Hacken |
34.19% ( -0.28) | 22.79% ( 0.07) | 43.01% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 65.49% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.6% ( -0.4) | 35.39% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.57% ( -0.44) | 57.43% ( 0.44) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -0.33) | 21.04% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( -0.52) | 53.84% ( 0.51) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.08) | 17.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.78% ( -0.13) | 47.21% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 43.01% |
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