Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hammarby in this match.
Result | ||
Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Hammarby |
16.94% ( 1.92) | 21.51% ( 1.52) | 61.55% ( -3.44) |
Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54% ( -3.08) | 45.99% ( 3.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% ( -2.99) | 68.3% ( 2.99) |
Varbergs BoIS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% ( 0.62) | 40.51% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( 0.55) | 77.11% ( -0.55) |
Hammarby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% ( -1.99) | 14.42% ( 1.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.66% ( -4) | 42.34% ( 4) |
Score Analysis |
Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Hammarby |
1-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.94% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 10.95% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.07% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.47) 0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.6) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.35) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.54% |
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