SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Hammarby |
28.68% ( -4.09) | 28.09% ( 0.35) | 43.23% ( 3.75) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -2.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.97% ( -2.44) | 60.03% ( 2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.74% ( -1.89) | 80.26% ( 1.89) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( -4.33) | 36.99% ( 4.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( -4.58) | 73.78% ( 4.58) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.91) | 27.55% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 1.15) | 63.06% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.78)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.57)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.33)Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.68% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.9)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 13.13% ( 1.46) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 1.13)1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.56)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.22% |
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