SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Malmo |
25.15% ( -1.31) | 23.67% ( -0.23) | 51.18% ( 1.54) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.09) | 44.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.09) | 67.32% ( 0.09) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( -1.09) | 31.75% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( -1.27) | 68.18% ( 1.27) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.55) | 17.61% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( 0.95) | 48.19% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.15% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.18% |
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