Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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