SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
44.05% ( 0.56) | 24.35% ( -0.17) | 31.6% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.17% ( 0.61) | 43.82% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( 0.59) | 66.21% ( -0.59) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( 0.5) | 20.04% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( 0.8) | 52.25% ( -0.8) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.04) | 26.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( 0.06) | 61.75% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.6% |
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