Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 71.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.