Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
