SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Sirius | 21 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 20 | -16 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 20 | 12 | 39 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 19 | 25 | 37 |
| 5 | Malmo | 21 | 8 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Hammarby |
25.92% ( 1.28) | 23.38% ( 0.12) | 50.7% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( 0.61) | 43% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.59) | 65.4% ( -0.59) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 1.35) | 30.09% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( 1.59) | 66.23% ( -1.59) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.29) | 17.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% ( -0.51) | 47.21% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.92% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 50.7% |
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