Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result | ||
Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
72.57% | 16.9% | 10.53% |
Both teams to score 48.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% | 39.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% | 62.24% |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.39% | 9.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.87% | 32.13% |
Kalmar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.65% | 46.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.01% | 81.99% |
Score Analysis |
Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
2-0 @ 12.22% 1-0 @ 10.43% 3-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 5.59% 4-1 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.65% 6-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.63% Total : 72.57% | 1-1 @ 8.02% 0-0 @ 4.46% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 16.9% | 0-1 @ 3.43% 1-2 @ 3.09% 0-2 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.53% |
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