Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
