Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Orebro win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.