Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Orebro win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Malmo in this match.
