Riga FC
1 - 1
Malmo

(Malmo win 2-1 on aggregate)

Paurevic (57')
Fjodorovs (25'), Cernomordijs (66'), Nata Wachholz (68'), Rugins (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Colak (33')
Rieks (26')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Riga FC win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Riga FC	Draw	Malmo
19.47%	24.04%	56.48%

Both teams to score 47.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43%

52.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77%

74.23%

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58%

41.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07%

77.93%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54%

18.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35%

49.65%

Score Analysis

Riga FC 19.48%

Malmo 56.47%

Draw 24.04%

Riga FC	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 6.74% 2-1 @ 5.02% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.48%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 12.91% 0-2 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-4 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.47%