Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Riga FC win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
