Malmo
1 - 0
Riga FC

(Malmo win 2-1 on aggregate)

Colak (50')
Ahmedhodzic (14'), Colak (30'), Innocent (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muritala (22'), Cernomordijs (29'), Fjodorovs (60')
Muritala (41')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Malmo and Riga FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Riga FC win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Riga FC
53.73%	23.92%	22.34%

Both teams to score 52.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22%

48.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12%

70.88%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93%

18.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01%

48.99%

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69%

36.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9%

73.09%

Score Analysis

Malmo 53.73%

Riga FC 22.34%

Draw 23.92%

Malmo	Draw	Riga FC
1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.34%