Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.7%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
