SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Malmo |
21.25% ( 0.09) | 24.32% ( 0.06) | 54.42% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.14) | 51.57% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.12) | 73.36% ( 0.12) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( 0.01) | 38.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% ( 0.01) | 75.67% ( -0.01) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.11) | 18.86% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% ( -0.19) | 50.32% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.42% |
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