Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.
