Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.