SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 16 | Helsingborg | 10 | -8 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Degerfors |
48.28% ( 0.2) | 25.35% ( -0.17) | 26.37% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( 0.65) | 51.06% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( 0.57) | 72.92% ( -0.56) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 0.35) | 21.17% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( 0.54) | 54.03% ( -0.54) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.33) | 34.02% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.35) | 70.7% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Degerfors |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.27% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.37% |
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